Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.424788 0.499724 0.582091 0.679084 0.789900 0.912278 1.057363
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.312924 0.412874 0.533713 0.689392 0.883340 1.115610 1.413276
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.240241 0.350321 0.494751 0.695393 0.963722 1.306628 1.773785
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.189819 0.302642 0.461727 0.697579 1.032487 1.484185 2.131081
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.156084 0.269666 0.440406 0.708323 1.108845 1.674218 2.518350
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.128802 0.239949 0.417247 0.710253 1.169020 1.843321 2.887556
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.102574 0.206015 0.380981 0.685072 1.182782 1.942862 3.160935
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.090289 0.193419 0.376745 0.709078 1.273303 2.162328 3.627085
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.079165 0.180538 0.369555 0.726190 1.352851 2.369382 4.087601
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.073363 0.176772 0.377782 0.770346 1.480678 2.661633 4.701131
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.062775 0.160936 0.360822 0.766345 1.524055 2.817854 5.104587
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.053248 0.145308 0.341663 0.755259 1.552640 2.949810 5.474845
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.045301 0.131777 0.325083 0.747850 1.588615 3.099704 5.890670
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.040266 0.124183 0.319921 0.762680 1.667830 3.331483 6.463365
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.035423 0.115944 0.311990 0.770609 1.734114 3.544404 7.016362
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.030949 0.107590 0.302380 0.773520 1.790247 3.742016 7.553616
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.027592 0.101550 0.297249 0.785476 1.865437 3.979742 8.177268
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.024193 0.094487 0.288383 0.787663 1.920076 4.181382 8.745392
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.020001 0.083706 0.268039 0.760123 1.908250 4.252437 9.071647
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.018493 0.081418 0.269934 0.786416 2.016060 4.566572 9.878578
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.016860 0.078248 0.268867 0.805147 2.108394 4.854969 10.650674
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.016321 0.078960 0.278988 0.853453 2.271785 5.297719 11.747241
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.014260 0.073250 0.269313 0.849078 2.312795 5.489611 12.356210